So Illinois 
W-L: ( 8-20) PR = 92.6372
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1115 H PFW HL (21-15, 94.1) 60-85
1118 H Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 50-81
1125 H Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 61-75
1126 H Arkansas SEC (12-20, 94.7) 63-73
1130 H We Kentucky CUSA ( 8-21, 92.8) 52-60
1203 H UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 54-81
1206 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 76-71
1218 H Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 47-64
1229 H Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 56-68
102 H Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 75-89
104 H No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 64-91
108 H Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 70-75
110 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 97-59
115 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 74-87
118 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 63-58
122 A Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 86-74
129 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 75-79
205 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 55-53
207 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 82-73
213 A Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 84-60
215 H Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 53-56
219 H No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 48-77
221 H Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 73-81
226 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 60-78
228 H Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 68-83
302 H Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 64-83
308 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 75-69
312 H Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 69-81
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1115 H PFW 60-85 -25 -1 -0.57
1118 H Missouri 50-81 -31 -3 0.00
1125 H Winthrop 61-75 -14 0 - -2.44
1126 H Arkansas 63-73 -10 -2 0.00
1130 H We Kentucky 52-60 -8 0 -1.89
1203 H UAB 54-81 -27 -1 -1.16
1206 A SE MO St 76-71 5 -1 + 2.69
1218 H Bradley 47-64 -17 -2 -0.44
1229 H Belmont 56-68 -12 -2 0.00
102 H Drake 75-89 -14 -1 -1.30
104 H No Iowa 64-91 -27 -2 -0.38
108 H Evansville 70-75 -5 0 -1.86
110 A Valparaiso 97-59 38 2 0.00
115 H Murray St 74-87 -13 -3 0.00
118 A Ill-Chicago 63-58 5 -1 + 2.89
122 A Indiana St 86-74 12 0 + 2.03
129 H Murray St 75-79 -4 -3 0.00
205 A Ill-Chicago 55-53 2 -1 + 2.89
207 A Valparaiso 82-73 9 2 0.00
213 A Illinois St 84-60 24 -2 + 3.76
215 H Bradley 53-56 -3 -2 -0.44
219 H No Iowa 48-77 -29 -2 -0.38
221 H Indiana St 73-81 -8 0 -1.99
226 H Illinois St 60-78 -18 -2 -0.26
228 H Drake 68-83 -15 -1 -1.30
302 H Belmont 64-83 -19 -2 0.00
308 A Evansville 75-69 6 0 + 2.16
312 H Indiana St 69-81 -12 0 -1.99
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1125 H Winthrop 61-75 -14 0 - -2.44
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1206 A SE MO St 76-71 5 -1 + 2.69
118 A Ill-Chicago 63-58 5 -1 + 2.89
122 A Indiana St 86-74 12 0 + 2.03
205 A Ill-Chicago 55-53 2 -1 + 2.89
213 A Illinois St 84-60 24 -2 + 3.76
308 A Evansville 75-69 6 0 + 2.16
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H PFW (21-15, 94.1) 60-85 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 1.08 -3.16
3 H Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 50-81 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 1.08 -2.32
3 H Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 61-75 -7.69 3.27 -0.01 1.08 -4.17
3 H Arkansas (12-20, 94.7) 63-73 -5.16 5.80 -0.01 1.08 -2.80
3 H We Kentucky ( 8-21, 92.8) 52-60 -7.15 3.81 -0.01 1.08 -3.88
3 H UAB (11-19, 93.5) 54-81 -6.41 4.55 -0.01 1.08 -3.48
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 76-71 -6.59 4.37 0.01 1.08 9.50
3 H Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 47-64 -5.70 5.27 -0.01 1.08 -3.09
3 H Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 56-68 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 1.08 -2.79
3 H Drake (12-20, 93.3) 75-89 -6.55 4.41 -0.01 1.08 -3.56
3 H No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 64-91 -5.63 5.33 -0.01 1.08 -3.06
3 H Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 70-75 -7.11 3.85 -0.01 1.08 -3.86
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 97-59 -9.64 1.32 0.01 1.08 2.88
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 74-87 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 1.08 -2.29
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 63-58 -6.38 4.58 0.01 1.08 9.94
3 A Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 86-74 -7.25 3.71 0.01 1.08 8.07
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 75-79 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 1.08 -2.29
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 55-53 -6.38 4.58 0.01 1.08 9.94
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 82-73 -9.64 1.32 0.01 1.08 2.88
3 A Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 84-60 -5.52 5.44 0.01 1.08 11.82
3 H Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 53-56 -5.70 5.27 -0.01 1.08 -3.09
3 H No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 48-77 -5.63 5.33 -0.01 1.08 -3.06
3 H Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 73-81 -7.25 3.71 -0.01 1.08 -3.93
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 60-78 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.08 -2.99
3 H Drake (12-20, 93.3) 68-83 -6.55 4.41 -0.01 1.08 -3.56
3 H Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 64-83 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 1.08 -2.79
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 75-69 -7.11 3.85 0.01 1.08 8.37
3 H Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 69-81 -7.25 3.71 -0.01 1.08 -3.93
------
-0.70
|
winning pts = 63.4096 losing points = -64.1099
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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